UCT CS Research Document Archive

Data-Driven Intervention-Level Prediction Modeling for
Academic Performance

Mgala, Mvurya and Audrey Mbogho (2015) Data-Driven Intervention-Level Prediction Modeling for
Academic Performance. In Proceedings Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Information and Communication Technologies and Development (ICTD '15) , Singapore.

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Abstract

Poor academic performance in final exams at primary school level in Kenya is a strong indicator that the student will not attain the desired career in future. It is therefore important to be able to predict the students who are likely to achieve below average marks and need high intervention early enough for them to improve their marks. This paper reports on a study to classify primary school students into two categories, those that need high intervention and the rest. The prediction can be initiated as early as two years before the final exam. An important highlight of this study is its focus on rural schools in a developing country. A total of 2426 records of students are used to build intervention prediction models. In the first set of experiments all the features are used. An optimal subset of features is then determined and a second set of experiments carried out. Results demonstrate that it is possible to attain reasonably accurate intervention prediction models even with the reduced dataset. The insights obtained will be used to build a mobile prediction tool that can be utilized by education stakeholders in rural regions where there is lack of electricity.

EPrint Type:Conference Paper
Keywords:Predicting academic performance; prediction model; machine
learning, technology in education; data mining
Subjects:I Computing Methodologies: I.2 ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
ID Code:1061
Deposited By:Mgala, Mvurya
Deposited On:26 January 2016